Jump to ContentJump to Main Navigation
Constructing CassandraReframing Intelligence Failure at the CIA, 1947-2001$
Users without a subscription are not able to see the full content.

Milo Jones and Philippe Silberzahn

Print publication date: 2013

Print ISBN-13: 9780804785808

Published to Stanford Scholarship Online: January 2014

DOI: 10.11126/stanford/9780804785808.001.0001

Show Summary Details
Page of

PRINTED FROM STANFORD SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (www.stanford.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) Copyright Stanford University Press, 2019. All Rights Reserved. An individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in SSO for personal use.date: 14 October 2019

The CIA and the Future of Intelligence

The CIA and the Future of Intelligence

Chapter:
(p.234) 7 The CIA and the Future of Intelligence
Source:
Constructing Cassandra
Author(s):

Milo Jones

Philippe Silberzahn

Publisher:
Stanford University Press
DOI:10.11126/stanford/9780804785808.003.0008

This chapter presents an overview of the theoretical conclusions and practical implications of the book. It reveals the commonalities between surprises rooted in secrets and those rooted more in mysteries, and it uses identity and culture to get to the source of what analysts call “the problem of the wrong puzzle”. Next, the chapter positions an identity and culture based approach to intelligence failure and strategic surprises as a unified theory of intelligence failure, one that is one logically prior to but compatible with explanations previously proposed. While the chapter asserts the primacy of diagnosis over prescription, it also explores a series of practical implications for the both CIA and policymakers of an identity and culture based understanding of intelligence failure.

Keywords:   intelligence reform, intelligence cycle criticism, practical value of diversity, cognitive diversity, informative failure

Stanford Scholarship Online requires a subscription or purchase to access the full text of books within the service. Public users can however freely search the site and view the abstracts and keywords for each book and chapter.

Please, subscribe or login to access full text content.

If you think you should have access to this title, please contact your librarian.

To troubleshoot, please check our FAQs , and if you can't find the answer there, please contact us.